Kenya Coffee School – Barista Mtaani Coffee Trade News

Global coffee markets are on edge after Brazil’s Conab (National Supply Company) revised its 2025 coffee production forecast downward. The world’s largest coffee producer is now expected to harvest fewer bags than previously projected, largely due to weather-related challenges and crop stress.

As a result, international coffee prices have surged, climbing steadily from 190 US cents/lb in April to 240 US cents/lb in September. This sharp increase signals tighter supply, heightened volatility, and new opportunities for coffee-producing nations like Kenya.

What This Means for Kenya

Kenya, renowned for its specialty arabica, stands at a strategic advantage. With global buyers diversifying sources to hedge against Brazil’s shortfall, demand for high-quality, traceable Kenyan coffee is expected to rise. This presents:

  • Higher farm-gate prices for smallholder growers.
  • Stronger bargaining power for cooperatives and unions.
  • New market windows for direct trade, specialty lots, and regenerative coffee.

Youth and Barista Empowerment

At Kenya Coffee School (KCS) and Barista Mtaani, this moment underscores the importance of knowledge, skills, and market literacy. Kenyan youth trained in barista skills, roasting, and coffee entrepreneurship are not just consumers of this trend—they are navigators and shapers of it.

By linking coffee education with trade awareness, KCS ensures that its graduates understand both the cup quality and the market dynamics that define coffee’s global journey. Barista Mtaani, meanwhile, provides grassroots baristas and entrepreneurs with the tools to transform higher global prices into local livelihood opportunities.

Looking Ahead

With Brazil’s production outlook uncertain, Kenya must seize the opportunity to position itself as a reliable supplier of premium coffee. This requires:

  • Investment in traceability and compliance tools, such as KCS’s GIS-powered EUDR solutions.
  • Strengthening of farmer cooperative governance and youth inclusion.
  • Expanding Kenya’s role in knowledge dissemination, through the KCS Academies (KCS-CCKD).

The message is clear: when global supply shifts, knowledge becomes the true currency of trade. And in that, Kenya Coffee School and Barista Mtaani are already setting the pace.


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